Real-Time Fraud Detection is Moving Closer to Payment Authorisation
As instant payments become more widely used, fraud controls are increasingly being pushed closer to the point at which a payment is authorised. The objective is to assess risk while there is still an opportunity to intervene, rather than relying primarily on investigations after funds have already moved. This requires financial institutions to combine transaction information with behavioural, account and recipient signals within increasingly compressed decision windows.
This is making real time payment fraud detection a more integrated part of payment processing. Banks and payment providers can use machine learning, behavioural analytics, device intelligence and recipient information to assess whether a transaction is consistent with the customer’s normal activity or shows signs of manipulation.
Behavioural Analysis is Becoming More Important
Traditional transaction monitoring often relies on rules such as unusual amounts, unfamiliar locations or repeated transactions. These indicators remain useful, but fraudsters can adapt their behaviour and some fraudulent payments appear legitimate at the transaction level.
Behavioural analytics can add another layer by examining how an account normally operates. A sudden change in payment behaviour, a new recipient combined with unusual account activity or a sequence of transactions that differs from established patterns can increase the risk score before the payment is completed.
This is particularly important for authorised push payment scams, where a customer may authenticate a transaction themselves after being deceived. The challenge is therefore to detect the circumstances surrounding the payment rather than simply determine whether the customer’s authentication credentials were correctly used.
Real time payment fraud detection can incorporate these signals into a risk assessment that takes place during the payment journey. The decision can then range from allowing the transaction to applying additional verification, delaying a higher-risk payment or routing the case for further review.
Network-Level Intelligence is Adding Another Layer
Fraud can also extend across multiple accounts and financial institutions, making it difficult for any single bank to see the full pattern. BIS Project Hertha tested AI and transaction analytics at the payment-system level to identify coordinated financial-crime patterns across a broader network. Its testing found that collaboration between banks or payment service providers and the payment system improved identification of illicit accounts, with the improvement reaching 26% for new and emerging typologies compared with bank or PSP analysis alone.
The result points toward a broader model of fraud prevention in which institutions can combine customer-level information with network-level transaction patterns. This can help identify relationships between accounts that may look ordinary when examined individually but become suspicious when viewed collectively.
Privacy remains a key constraint. BIS research has examined approaches including federated learning and multi-party computation that can support collaborative analytics without requiring institutions to expose sensitive customer data to one another.
Verification is Becoming Part of the Payment Experience
Payment verification is also moving closer to the transaction itself. Confirmation-of-payee services, for example, can check whether the account information supplied by a payer corresponds with the intended recipient before a payment is made. Such measures are particularly relevant to instant payments because prevention before settlement is generally more valuable than attempting recovery afterwards.
The regulatory response is developing alongside the technology. In the UK, APP reimbursement requirements have increased the financial consequences for payment firms when customers are victims of qualifying scams. By the 18 months ending March 2026, the Payment Systems Regulator reported that 88% of the money lost to in-scope APP scams, £316 million, had been reimbursed, while 82% of claims were closed within five business days.




















